🛢️ Oilseeds Market Intelligence Report: Mustard & Soybean 📅 Report Date: 17 July 2025 📍 Focus States: Rajasthan, MP, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab

🌾 SECTION 1: FARMER FOCUS – Mustard & Soybean

🔍 A. Crush Margin Analysis (Farmer's Realization from Seeds to Oil)

Crop Avg. Mandi Price (₹/Quintal) Avg. Oil Recovery (%) Oil Price (₹/kg) Crush Margin (₹/Quintal)
Mustard 5,600 38% ₹130 ₹(130×38) - 5600 ≈ ₹(4,940 - 5,600) = -660 (Loss)
Soybean 4,200 18% ₹115 ₹(115×18) - 4200 ≈ ₹(2,070 - 4,200) = -2,130 (Heavy Loss)

📌 Insight:
🟥 Both Mustard & Soybean are currently running negative crush margins due to higher seed prices and stagnant oil rates.


🌍 B. Export Trends & Market Strategy

Commodity Exports (Apr-Jun 2025) Major Buyers Export Trend Advisory for Farmers
Mustard Oil ⬆️ +12% YoY Nepal, Bangladesh Rising Demand Focus on quality produce, avoid distress sale
Soybean Meal ⬇️ -18% YoY Vietnam, Iran Declining Demand Store crop till prices improve post-rainfall season

📦 C. Storage Advisory for Farmers

  • Mustard: Can be safely stored in jute bags with low humidity. Store in dry ventilated godowns.

  • Soybean: High oil content → susceptible to rancidity & fungal growth. Use hermetic bags or metal bins. Avoid plastic in monsoon.

📢 Advisory: Do not sell in July–August if not in urgent need. Better realization expected around October–November (festival & export demand).


💹 SECTION 2: TRADER FOCUS – Price Fluctuation & Export Watch

📈 A. Price Volatility (Last 4 Weeks)

Crop Min Price (₹/Quintal) Max Price (₹/Quintal) Current Price (₹/Quintal) Trend
Mustard 5,300 5,800 5,600 🔄 Stable
Soybean 3,950 4,300 4,200 🔽 Slight Decline

🔎 Reasons:

  • Mustard: Stable due to stock limit regulations, lower imports.

  • Soybean: Price pressure from Brazilian harvest + weak export demand.


🌐 B. Export Analysis for Traders

Product Global Demand Trend India’s Export Advantage Risk Factor
Mustard Oil High (Organic Oil Demand) Cold-pressed advantage, low competition Limited scale
Soybean Meal Low (Global oversupply) Competitive only at lower prices Currency risk, shipping cost

💡 Trade Insight:

  • Stockist traders can benefit from Mustard oil exports to niche markets.

  • Soybean crushing & meal export not viable currently — caution advised.


🧴 SECTION 3: CONSUMER FOCUS – Oil Price Sensitivity Check

🛒 Edible Oil Price Tracker (Retail)

Oil Type Current MRP (₹/Litre) 1-Month Change Consumer Impact
Mustard Oil ₹160 ➖ No Change Neutral
Soybean Oil ₹138 🔼 +₹5 Moderate Burden
Sunflower Oil ₹155 🔽 -₹3 Relief
Palm Oil ₹120 ➖ Stable Affordable Option

🔍 Consumer Advisory:

  • 🛒 Bulk buy Mustard Oil before festive price hike.

  • 🌿 Switch to Sunflower or Palm Oil for price-sensitive households.


📊 Summary Snapshot

Segment Current Situation Strategic Recommendation
Farmers Negative margins, volatile prices Hold stock, delay sales till festival/export season
Traders Mustard oil export profitable Focus on mustard; avoid speculative soybean trades
Consumers Soybean oil getting costlier Choose sunflower/palm oil for budget needs

🔔 Quick Tips

Monitor MSP Announcements
Stay Alert on Import Duty Changes
Use Storage Bags with Moisture Control
Follow Harvest Track for Weekly Alerts


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