🌾 GRAIN MARKET STRATEGY BULLETIN 🌾 Sell or Hold Strategy | MSP & Mandi Trends | North India Weekly Update 📅 Data Dates: 17 June – 24 June 2025

 

🔍 GRAIN MARKET STRATEGY – WEEKLY INSIGHT

Grain	Mandi Avg. Price (₹/Quintal)	MSP 2024-25 (₹/Quintal)	Procurement Trend	Price vs MSP	Sell or Hold Advice
Wheat	₹2,080 – ₹2,150	₹2,275	Procurement slowing in Punjab & Haryana	🔻 Below MSP	📦 HOLD till Jul-Aug peak in private buying
Rice (Paddy)	₹2,050 – ₹2,250	₹2,300 (Grade A)	Active in Punjab mandis, stable govt buying	🔻 Slightly Below MSP	⚖️ HOLD or 📤 SELL if stored well
Maize	₹1,520 – ₹1,600	₹2,090	Low procurement; market dominated by private trade	🔻 Far Below MSP	📤 SELL in short term, no MSP cushion

💡 Note: MSP = Minimum Support Price.

Prices sourced from Karnal, Bhiwani, Bareilly, Kanpur, Azamgarh, Amritsar & Patiala Mandis.

---

⚠️ MARKET STRATEGY SUMMARY

✅ WHEAT

• Current Trend: Prices stagnant, slightly below MSP.

• Market Factors: Private traders increasing activity for flour mill demand. Govt procurement almost done.

• Strategy: Hold stock till July–August, prices expected to rise post-rainfall due to increased storage & transport demand.

✅ PADDY (RICE)

• Current Trend: Steady mandi arrivals, quality determines price.

• Market Factors: MSP support present but quality grading causes price spread.

• Strategy: Sell high-grade paddy; hold lower grades till July when parboiling demand increases.

✅ MAIZE

• Current Trend: Prices under pressure due to feedstock oversupply.

• Market Factors: Weak buying from ethanol and poultry sectors.

• Strategy: Sell now if storage is a challenge. Price unlikely to touch MSP soon.

---

🌦️ WEATHER WATCH IMPACT

Region	Rainfall Status	Impact on Grain Prices
Punjab & Haryana	Slightly delayed monsoon	Wheat & Rice storage may face quality issues
Eastern UP & Bihar	Good pre-monsoon showers	Maize arrivals slowing, may push up prices soon

🔔 SPECIAL ALERTS & TIPS

• 🏢 Government MSP Procurement Slowing Down – Particularly for Wheat in Punjab & Haryana.

• 🧺 Private Buying Strengthening – Flour mills and exporters scouting for better quality wheat & rice.

• 📦 Storage Advisory – Maintain moisture <12% for wheat & maize if holding for July market.

• 📈 Price Spike Forecast – Likely post-monsoon (late July–August) due to increased transport cost & bulk demand for Raksha Bandhan season.