📊 Commodity Price Trends (May 21–27, 2025)
Key Mandis in North India
| Commodity | Mandi(s) | Price Trend | % Change | Key Drivers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustard (Sarson) | Jaipur (Raj), Hisar (Haryana) | 🔺 Increasing | +12–15% | High demand from oil mills, reduced arrivals |
| Wheat | Ludhiana (Punjab), Meerut (UP) | 🔺 Increasing | +10–12% | Govt procurement, pre-monsoon stocking |
| Potato | Agra (UP), Shimla (HP) | 🔺 Increasing | +11–13% | Lower output, rising processor demand |
| Tomato | Solan (HP), Karnal (Haryana) | 🔻 Decreasing | −14–16% | Seasonal glut, oversupply |
| Chilli | Guntur (AP), Khari Baoli (Delhi) | 🔻 Decreasing | −10–12% | South India arrivals, weak exports |
| Soybean | Manasa (MP) | 🔻 Decreasing | N/A | Moisture issues, trading below MSP (₹4,280 avg) |
⚠️ Price Volatility Alerts
| Commodity | Current Price Range | Alert Summary |
|---|---|---|
| Mustard Oil | ₹160–₹165/litre (retail) | Sharp rise due to oil mill demand |
| Sugar (M-grade) | ₹3,950–₹4,070/quintal (Muzaffarnagar) | Stable but watch for monsoon-linked supply impact |
🌦️ Weather Outlook & Impact
| Region/Crop | Condition | Forecast/Impact |
|---|---|---|
| North India (General) | Monsoon | Above-normal June rain (108% of LPA) – IMD |
| Delhi, Haryana, Chandigarh | Rainfall | 114% of LPA forecasted – cooler monsoon onset |
| Mango (Malihabad) | Light Rains | Positive impact: better size & ripening |
| Mango (Unnao, Barabanki) | Local Storms | Crop damage reported in some orchards |
📌 Trade Recommendations
| Focus Area | Actionable Insights |
|---|---|
| Mustard & Wheat | Track mandi arrivals and stock limits due to price gains |
| Perishables (Tomato, Mango) | Adjust trade strategies based on local weather |
| Monsoon-sensitive Commodities | Review procurement and logistics plans in light of forecasted heavy rains |
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