🌿 SECTION 1: PRICE TRENDS – MUSTARD & SOYBEAN
| 🛒 Commodity | 📍 Key Mandis | 💰 Price (₹/quintal) | 🔁 Change vs Last Week | 📊 Trend |
|---|
| Mustard Seed | Bharatpur, Alwar, Kota | ₹5,400 – ₹5,700 | ▲ ₹100 – ₹150 | 🔺 Rising |
| Soybean | Indore, Nagpur, Akola | ₹4,650 – ₹4,850 | ➖ Stable to ▲ ₹50 | ⚖️ Mixed |
🧮 SECTION 2: CRUSH MARGIN ANALYSIS
| ⚙️ Item | Mustard (per quintal) | Soybean (per quintal) |
|---|
| Mandi Price | ₹5,600 | ₹4,750 |
| Oil Yield | ~37% (Mustard Oil) | ~18% (Soybean Oil) |
| Oil Price (Retail) | ₹124/litre | ₹122/litre |
| Cake Price | ₹2,000 | ₹2,400 |
| Crush Margin | ₹400 – ₹500 | ₹250 – ₹350 |
📌 Insights:
-
Mustard is offering better crush margins than soybean.
-
Farmers can hold mustard for short term due to rising oil demand.
-
Soybean margins lower, but may improve if export demand picks up.
🌎 SECTION 3: EXPORT & TRADE TRENDS
| 🌐 Item | 📦 Trend | 📈 Outlook |
|---|
| Soybean Meal | Good demand from SE Asia | 🔺 Positive for prices |
| Mustard Cake | Limited export, local dairy | ⚖️ Stable |
| Vegetable Oil Imports | High import of palm, sunflower | 🔻 May suppress local oil prices |
🧭 For Traders:
- Monitor global soybean meal demand from Vietnam, Bangladesh.
- Rising import volumes could cap retail oil price growth—watch port parity.
🧑🌾 SECTION 4: STRATEGY FOR FARMERS
| 🚜 Crop | 🌾 Harvest Plan | 🧊 Storage Advice |
|---|
| Mustard | Already harvested | Store in dry, ventilated godowns; price likely to rise |
| Soybean | Sowing ongoing in most areas | Long-term holding not advised unless export picks up |
✅ Farmer Tips:
- Mustard: Hold for 2–4 weeks; good crush margin.
- Soybean: Sell in small lots if prices inch up post export orders.
🧾 SECTION 5: FOR CONSUMERS – OIL PRICE SENSITIVITY
| 🧴 Oil Type | 💰 Retail Price (₹/litre) | 📊 Trend | 🛍️ Buy Advice |
|---|
| Mustard Oil | ₹122 – ₹125 | 🔺 Slight Up | Buy 1–2 week stock only |
| Soybean Oil | ₹118 – ₹122 | ⚖️ Flat | No rush; prices stable |
| Palm Oil (Imported) | ₹98 – ₹102 | 🔻 Down | Good option for bulk cooking |
💡 Consumer Tips:
- Price-sensitive? Use blended oils or mix with palm-based products.
- Avoid panic buying, stable supply due to imports.
📌 CONCLUSION
- Mustard: 🔺 Strong crush margin, rising trend—good for short-term storage by farmers and traders.
- Soybean: ⚖️ Mixed trend—watch exports closely before bulk decisions.
- Consumers: 🔄 Monitor oil prices weekly. Mustard may inch up, but overall edible oil inflation is limited.
📊 Prepared by:
HARVEST TRACK RESEARCH | GURGAON
“Empowering Agri Decisions – From Farm to Kitchen”
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