Quick Heatmap / त्वरित हीटमैप
Legend / संकेत: ▲ Up/मज़बूत | ▼ Down/कमज़ोर | → Steady/स्थिर | ⚠ Volatile/अस्थिर
| Commodity / वस्तु | Key Mandis / प्रमुख मंडी | Trend (Mon–Wed) / रुझान | Volatility / अस्थिरता | Comment / टिप्पणी |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wheat (MP/Delhi line) | Delhi-Narela, Karnal, Khanna | → | Low | MSP sentiment steady; mill demand routine |
| Paddy/Raw Rice | Kaithal, Narela, Bareilly | → | Low–Med | Old crop discounts persist; quality-led spreads |
| Maize | Khanna, Bareilly, Narela | ▲ | Low–Med | Feed demand supportive; arrivals patchy |
| Bajra | Jaipur, Alwar, Hapur | → | Low | New crop watch; steady trades |
| Chana (Gram) | Bikaner, Jaipur, Delhi | → / ▲ | Low–Med | Retail pull aids firm tone in select grades |
| Tur/Arhar | Kanpur, Lucknow | ▲ | Med | Imported parity & retail lift |
| Moong | Jaipur, Kota | → | Med | Quality sensitive; wide spreads |
| Masur (Lentil) | Delhi, Kanpur | → / ▼ | Low–Med | Range-bound; weak undertone in average lots |
| Mustard (SARSON) | Bharatpur, Alwar, Sri Ganganagar | ▲ | Low | Crushers active; oil & cake steady-firm |
| Groundnut (Kharif) | Bikaner, Sikar | → | Low | Limited fresh cues midweek |
| Coriander (Dhania) | Kota–Ramganj, Jaipur | ⚠ ▲/▼ | High | Sharp grade-wise moves; watch carry spreads |
| Mentha Oil | Sambhal, Chandausi, Barabanki | ⚠ →/▲ | High | Intraday spikes; low liquidity pockets |
| Onion | Azadpur, Alwar, Chandigarh | ▲ | Med | Rain-hit arrivals; quality premium widening |
| Potato | Azadpur, Agra, Chandigarh | → | Med | Storage stocks adequate; grade spreads wider |
| Tomato | Azadpur, Chandigarh, Muhana-Jaipur | ⚠ ▲/▼ | Very High | Weather-led swings; time entries carefully |
Volatility Alerts / अस्थिरता अलर्ट
- Tomato (Azadpur/Chandigarh/Muhana): Very high intraday swings; arrivals disrupted by showers. Strategy: Use smaller lots, stagger orders; avoid chasing spikes.
- Mentha Oil (Sambhal/Chandausi): High speculative activity; thin depth. Strategy: Strict SLs; prefer options/hedged exposure where available.
- Coriander (Kota-Ramganj): Grade-led two-way moves; carry spreads moved sharply. Strategy: Focus on quality arbitrage; avoid low-clarity bids.
Weather Watch / मौसम निगरानी
- Monsoon update (उत्तर भारत): Intermittent moderate rains across Delhi-NCR, West UP, East Rajasthan.
- Operational impact:
- Arrivals: Delays in morning inflows (perishables); moisture complaints in leafy/soft veg.
- Quality: Wider A/B/C grade spreads for onion, potato; sorting cost up.
- Logistics: Patchy last-mile transport → afternoon price firmness in veg counters.
Trader Playbook (Mon–Wed) / ट्रेडर प्लेबुक
- Grains (गेहूं/मक्का): Bias steady-to-firm; buy-on-dips for mill deliveries; avoid over-hedging.
- Pulses (चना/तूर): Prefer selective longs in chana/tur; roll risk if spreads unattractive.
- Oilseeds (सरसों): Maintain light long; keep eye on oil/oilcake basis.
- Perishables (टमाटर/प्याज/आलू): Intraday only; use tight risk; align with arrival windows.
Mandi Notes / मंडी टिप्पणियाँ
- Delhi–Azadpur: Tomato & green veg show afternoon firmness post-rain; onion premium for dry, damage-free lots.
- Karnal/Khanna: Wheat steady; maize bids improving on feed pull.
- Kota–Ramganj: Dhania choppy; stick to known grades only.
- Sambhal–Chandausi: Mentha oil spiky; execute with caution; verify can levels before lift.
Risk & Compliance / जोखिम व अनुपालन
- Data usage: Midweek directional brief for T+0 to T+2 decisions; confirm invoices/receipts for settlement.
- Hedging: Use position limits; mark-to-market twice daily in volatile counters.
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